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The authoritative independent voice of the UK food industry

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Food inflation hits 16.4% with fastest rise in 45 years

16 Nov, 2022

Food and drink inflation has continued to rise to 16.4% a rate not seen for 45 years. The cost of basics such as milk, cheese and eggs are leading the charge.

carton of eggs

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Food and drink inflation has continued to rise to 16.4% a rate not seen for 45 years. The cost of basics such as milk, cheese and eggs are leading the charge.

The Food and Drink Federation chief executive, Karen Betts, said: Food and drink price inflation continued its worrying upward trend in October, hitting 16.4% in the ONS figures out today [16th November]. 

“Manufacturers continue to do what they can to contain price rises for shoppers, and we are very conscious of their impact on low-income households in particular. But on average manufacturers have seen a 21% rise in their costs over the past year, with the high cost of energy particularly significant. This has meant that some costs are having to be passed onto consumers.”

She added: “Government could help ease these pressures by reducing the costs of doing business, for example through simplifying regulation, reducing the cost of trade with the EU and helping companies to invest in growth, innovation and skills through tax incentives. To that end, we’re looking forward to seeing what measures the Chancellor will set out in his Autumn Statement tomorrow.”

NFU Scotland said failure by some major retailers to recognise the soaring costs faced by egg producers by delivering a fair price back to the farm is driving businesses to scale back production to reduce losses.

This week, several major retailers including Tesco, Lidl and Sainsbury’s issued warnings about rationing the number of packs of eggs shoppers could purchase, suggesting that Avian Influenza was responsible. Imported Italian barn eggs have also appeared on shelves this week.

NFU Scotland has dismissed retailer claims regarding AI as a red herring and pointed out that the failure of retailers to recognise the exceptional increase in costs across the industry and deliver a fair price back to producers has seen many producers reduce numbers of birds in a bid to control their losses.

NFU Scotland’s Poultry Working Group chair Robert Thompson said: “The threat of Avian Influenza hangs over the industry, causing huge concerns for all those who keep poultry. For those who have had an outbreak, it has been devastating, but its overall impact on production to date has been small. That makes retailer claims that AI is behind the shortages completely disingenuous.

“The biggest driver behind falling egg production is a crisis of confidence. Retailers were informed in the spring that soaring costs in feed, packaging, and electricity needed an immediate increase in the prices paid to farmers if they were to continue to keep birds. Shop shelf prices for eggs increased but the proportion of the price increase paid back to producers did not cover costs. Retailers were well warned by NFU Scotland, Scottish Government and other industry bodies, those calls were largely ignored, and that warning is now coming home to roost. If they deliver a fair price back to egg producers, egg producers will respond and ensure that fresh, Scottish eggs will be freely available in stores.” 

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