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The authoritative independent voice of the UK food industry

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Confectionery has downward effect on food inflation rate

16 Sep, 2026

The Office for National Statistics has published the latest consumer price inflation data, finding that confectionery, sugar and jam had small downward effects on the annual inflation rate.

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The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 3.1% in the 12 months to August 2026, up from 2.9% the previous month.

The 12-month inflation rate for food and non-alcoholic beverages was 1.3% in August 2026, unchanged from July. The rate was last lower in September 2021, when it was 0.8%. On a monthly basis, food and non-alcoholic beverage prices rose by 0.4% in August 2026, the same rise as in August 2025.

ONS observed small downward effects behind the change in the annual rate coming from sugar, jam, syrups, chocolate, and confectionery, where, on a monthly basis, prices rose slightly in August 2026, compared with a larger rise a year ago. This led to a downward contribution of 0.02% to the change in the CPIH inflation rate. 

There was also a small downward effect from meat, where prices fell slightly in August 2026 but rose a year ago. This resulted in a downward contribution of 0.01% to the change in the CPIH inflation rate.

ONS said that partially offsetting these was a small upward effect of 0.01% from vegetables, where prices rose by more in August 2026 than in August 2025.

“Cost pressures… are still very real challenges for food and drink manufacturers. We expect these to filter through into prices in shops.”

Dr Liliana Danila, chief economist at the Food and Drink Federation (FDF), said: “Inflation was steady in August because the entire food system, including manufacturers, is straining to find further efficiencies and keep costs as low as possible for shoppers. However, the cost pressures caused by war in Iran, droughts across the UK and Europe, and El Niño are still very real challenges for food and drink manufacturers. We expect these to filter through into prices in shops.

“Government can help tackle rising shopping bills. We’ve given the Chancellor suggestions on how he can help take the heat out of food inflation, including providing rapid and targeted energy support for food and drink manufacturers. Food and drink is an essential that households can’t go without. If the Government is serious about tackling the cost-of-living, this sector needs to be a priority.”

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